Week 9 scenarios and the results from the potential outcomes

ham55 · Post by **ham55** » October 23rd, 2005, 10:42 pm

This is it. To the best of my knowledge this is how things will shake out if these this is to happen. Forest Hills and Bishop McCort will win. As will Penn Cambria, Marion Center, and Westmont.
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Scenario #1

Bedford loss and Ridge, Marion Center, Tyrone, Bishop McCort, Westmont, and Penn Cambria Win

Westy, 120 points for win vs Central
10 more for Bedford/J-town win
130 points total for week 9
780 total

Penn Cambria W over Richland
130 points
10 from J-town
140 points for week 9
760 total

Bedford
FH win, 10
Penn Cambria win, 10
Bedford
800

Marion Center
80 points for W over Penns Manor
20 for PM’s wins
40 for other teams W’s
140 for week
850

#1 Tyrone -
#2 Forest Hills -
#3 Chestnut Ridge -
#4 Bishop McCort -
#5 Marion Center -
#6 Bedford -
#7 Westmont -
#8 Penn Cambria –

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Scenario #2
Bedford win and Ridge loss

CR
10 pts from Claysburg/Glendale
10 from Everett W over Williamsburg
10 from NBC
CR 840 points drops to 6th.

Bedford 120 points from W over AAA J-town
40 pts from J-town
10 from FH W over Somerset
10 for PC over Richland
180 total
960
Good enough for 3rd.

Bishop McCort
100 points for W over winless Cambria Heights.
10 points for Bedford win
10 points for Westmont win
120 total points for week 9
940, drops to 4th.

Marion Center
80 points for W over Penns Manor
20 for PM’s wins
40 for other teams W’s
140 for week
MC 850 points raises to 5th.

#1 Tyrone -
#2 Forest Hills -
#3 Bishop McCort -
#4 Bedford -
#5 Marion Center -
#6 Chestnut Ridge -
#7 Westmont -
#8 Penn Cambria –
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Scenario #3
Ridge and Bedford loss, Marion Center win

CR
10 pts from Claysburg/Glendale
10 from Everett W over Williamsburg
10 from NBC
CR 840 points

Bedford
FH win, 10
Penn Cambria win, 10
Bedford
800

Marion Center
80 points for W over Penns Manor
20 for PM’s wins
40 for other teams W’s
140 for week
MC 850 points

#1 Tyrone -
#2 Forest Hills -
#3 Bishop McCort -
#4 Marion Center -
#5 Chestnut Ridge -
#6 Bedford -
#7 Westmont -
#8 Penn Cambria –
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The standings are how they will be seen after this weeks action, in each given scenario. Here it is ladies and gents. I personally like scenario number 1 myself.

11th man · Post by **11th man** » October 23rd, 2005, 10:53 pm

Wow, lots of numbers

ham55 · Post by **ham55** » October 23rd, 2005, 10:57 pm

Yes, it was. But that's what's going to happen unless something earthshattering takes place like Bishop McCort dropping a game to the Kilties, or FH dropping the game vs. the horrid Iggles of Somerset.

11th man · Post by **11th man** » October 23rd, 2005, 10:59 pm

or barring a mistake in your math... had to jab at you, sorry

Xylo · Post by **Xylo** » October 23rd, 2005, 11:29 pm

OK, but what if Bedford, Ridge and MC win? Or better yet, all eight seeds win.

No offense, but the first two scenarios look like hopes for a favorable Bedford seed.

If everyone wins, without the math, it should work out like this:

Tyrone
Forest Hills
Chestnut Ridge
Bishop McCort
Bedford
Marion Center
Westmont
Penn Cambria

Oh, and not that it matters, but PC beating Richland would only be 110 points since Richland is an "A" school.

ham55 · Post by **ham55** » October 23rd, 2005, 11:43 pm

I thought it was assumed that that was going to be the result in the other thread. I was bringing to light these situations, and what the result would be. Mainly, I'm trying to figure out what Bedford's playoff future is, depending on 2 other teams in this weeks actions.

ham55 · Post by **ham55** » October 23rd, 2005, 11:45 pm

And it is highly possible that Bedford drops its last game of the year to J-Town. Even more so if Kyler Ford isn't healthy or playing next week. I'm not trying to be hopeful here for anything. I figured it out, with the obvious teams winning on the 3 main teams involved previous schedule(Bedford, Chestnut Ridge, Marion Center).

BOSSHOGG · Post by **BOSSHOGG** » October 24th, 2005, 8:27 am

Better redo your numbers because as of now BM is still 3rd CR 4th and Bedford is 5th.

Xylo · Post by **Xylo** » October 24th, 2005, 9:40 am

Based on some of the data above, I'll re-do mine.

I'm only focusing on 3rd through 6th place as I think the others are beyond movement. I thought I read last week that Bedford couldn't get past McCort, but now I'm not so sure.

Assuming all the "other" wins hold true and all four teams (BM, Bed, CR and MC) win. McCort can only get 120 points for beating CH, Bedford can get 180 points for beating Johnstown, CR can get 160 points and MC can get 140.

The middle four would then look like this:

#3 Chestnut Ridge 970
#4 Bedford 960
#5 Bishop McCort 940
#6 Marion Center 850

Looks like CR could go a second year in the playoffs without facing an LHAC team in the first round.

Note, should Richland beat PC, McCort would get 10 and Bedford would lose 10 and the tie would work in McCort's favor for the #4 seed.

Also Ham, Johnstown hasn't beaten a team with a winning record all year. While I think Bedford may be a little slow out of the gate with three easy weeks behind them, they should be well rested. Johnstown needs three things to win, limited penalties, no turnovers AND Kyler Ford not playing (whether hurt or resting).

Opinionguy · Post by **Opinionguy** » October 24th, 2005, 9:51 am

Pretty much everything is riding on Cheasnut Ridge's game, and the Bedford-Johnstown game.

All of the other games should hold true, except for these two matchups.

All the possibilities are listed above between Ham and Xylo's post.

Regardless, the road to Mansion Park either will run through Tyrone or Sidman.

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