Can PSU Still Make It?

[abpk2903]

[font=Calibri]There is just so much left to be determined it is impossible to play the “what if” game.  Is Penn State is great position?  NO.  Do they have a shot? Heck yeah.[/font]

[font=Calibri]Last year PSU was ranked 12[sup]th[/sup] at this point of the season and given a .5% mathematical chance of winning the B1G.  Let alone make the playoffs.  So this year they are in a much better position.[/font]

[font=Calibri]I see several scenarios that can put Penn State back in good position.  But this is only assuming they win out and look pretty impressive doing so.  I will break it down by conference.[/font]

[font=Calibri] [/font]

[font=Calibri]Good B1G scenarios for PSU.   Ohio State loses a second game, Wisconsin doesn’t go undefeated.  Many ways this could play out.  OSU loss to Michigan, Michigan State, or Wisconsin.  Wisconsin loss to Michigan or 2-loss Ohio State in the B1G Championship.  I think a 1 loss PSU team will get in over a 1 loss Wisconsin team or a 2 loss Ohio State team. [/font]

[font=Calibri]Best scenario of all is somehow they get into the B1G championship game and win it.  A 12-1 back-to-back B1G would be a virtual lock for the playoffs. [/font]

[font=Calibri] [/font]

[font=Calibri]Good SEC scenarios for PSU.  Georgia losses somewhere before SEC championship game and losses the championship game to Alabama.  This will take the threat of a second bid coming out of the SEC away.  Alabama goes unblemished to prevent someone’s (Auburn or LSU maybe) resume getting bolstered by a victory over ‘Bama. [/font]

[font=Calibri]Best scenario is somehow Alabama loses 2 before the SEC championship and a multi-loss team out of the west beats Georgia.  That COULD leave the SEC empty handed.  Likelihood I would say is less than a percent of a percent.[/font]

[font=Calibri] [/font]

[font=Calibri]Good ACC scenarios for PSU.  This conference is pretty set in stone, IMO.  The winner of the league (Clemson, VT, or Miami) will likely get the bid.  I don’t see anyway they get a second team in.  Likelihood[/font]

[font=Calibri]Best scenario is Clemson somehow loses a second regular season game or lose to a multi-loss representative out of the Atlantic.  That could leave the ACC without a bid.[/font]

[font=Calibri] [/font]

[font=Calibri]Good Big 12 scenarios for PSU.  They need everyone to beat up on each other.  They need TCU or Okie State to beat Oklahoma.  Then they probably need that team to lose somewhere else along the way to be super comfy.  I think Penn State COULD get in over a 1 loss TCU or a 1 loss Okie State but a 0% chance they get in over a 1 loss Oklahoma.[/font]

[font=Calibri]Best scenario is some combination of TCU beats Oklahoma but loses to Okie State who lost to Oklahoma.  Or Oklahoma beats TCU but loses to Okie State who stumbles somewhere along the way.[/font]

[font=Calibri]Good PAC 12 scenarios for PSU.  This conferences playoff chances are on life support.  Their highest ranked team is Washington and they have very few games against teams that will shoot them up the board.  I honestly like PSU’s chances against any potential scenario for the PAC 12.[/font]

[font=Calibri] [/font]

[font=Calibri]Notre Dame.  Gotta lose.[/font]

[font=Calibri] [/font]

[font=Calibri]So as you can see, there are so many directions this can go.  My personal thoughts are that the B1G Champion will be in (though it is likely not PSU), the SEC Champion will be in, and the ACC Champion will be in.  If Notre Dame is undefeated, they will be the 4[sup]th[/sup] team.  If Oklahoma is with 1 loss, they will be in over either ND or B1G champion.  Penn State fans really need to cheer against Notre Dame, Oklahoma, TCU, and Georgia.  They will have a hard time getting in over any of those teams with just 1 loss.  Other than that, I would say their resume along with the eye tests will stack up with any remaining 1 loss teams. [/font]

[konjo78]

Penn state and ohio state are dead now for cfb playoffs.

Big 10s only hope is michigan state winning out or wisconsin winning out. Otherwise they wont have a team in the playoffs

[GoldenRamsFAN]

The only hope the B1G has now is Wisconsin, MSU is out since they also have two losses. Unless something crazy happens and everyone else losses two games also.

[konjo78]

Very true! It is wisconsin or bust. And with the ohio state blow out i wouldnt put psu or ohio state in the top 15

[lgb87cape]

[font=Calibri]There is just so much left to be determined it is impossible to play the “what if” game.  Is Penn State is great position?  NO.  Do they have a shot? Heck yeah.[/font]

[font=Calibri]Last year PSU was ranked 12[sup]th[/sup] at this point of the season and given a .5% mathematical chance of winning the B1G.  Let alone make the playoffs.  So this year they are in a much better position.[/font]

[font=Calibri]I see several scenarios that can put Penn State back in good position.  But this is only assuming they win out and look pretty impressive doing so.  I will break it down by conference.[/font]

[font=Calibri] [/font]

[font=Calibri]Good B1G scenarios for PSU.   Ohio State loses a second game, Wisconsin doesn’t go undefeated.  Many ways this could play out.  OSU loss to Michigan, Michigan State, or Wisconsin.  Wisconsin loss to Michigan or 2-loss Ohio State in the B1G Championship.  I think a 1 loss PSU team will get in over a 1 loss Wisconsin team or a 2 loss Ohio State team. [/font]

[font=Calibri]Best scenario of all is somehow they get into the B1G championship game and win it.  A 12-1 back-to-back B1G would be a virtual lock for the playoffs. [/font]

[font=Calibri] [/font]

[font=Calibri]Good SEC scenarios for PSU.  Georgia losses somewhere before SEC championship game and losses the championship game to Alabama.  This will take the threat of a second bid coming out of the SEC away.  Alabama goes unblemished to prevent someone’s (Auburn or LSU maybe) resume getting bolstered by a victory over ‘Bama. [/font]

[font=Calibri]Best scenario is somehow Alabama loses 2 before the SEC championship and a multi-loss team out of the west beats Georgia.  That COULD leave the SEC empty handed.  Likelihood I would say is less than a percent of a percent.[/font]

[font=Calibri] [/font]

[font=Calibri]Good ACC scenarios for PSU.  This conference is pretty set in stone, IMO.  The winner of the league (Clemson, VT, or Miami) will likely get the bid.  I don’t see anyway they get a second team in.  Likelihood[/font]

[font=Calibri]Best scenario is Clemson somehow loses a second regular season game or lose to a multi-loss representative out of the Atlantic.  That could leave the ACC without a bid.[/font]

[font=Calibri] [/font]

[font=Calibri]Good Big 12 scenarios for PSU.  They need everyone to beat up on each other.  They need TCU or Okie State to beat Oklahoma.  Then they probably need that team to lose somewhere else along the way to be super comfy.  I think Penn State COULD get in over a 1 loss TCU or a 1 loss Okie State but a 0% chance they get in over a 1 loss Oklahoma.[/font]

[font=Calibri]Best scenario is some combination of TCU beats Oklahoma but loses to Okie State who lost to Oklahoma.  Or Oklahoma beats TCU but loses to Okie State who stumbles somewhere along the way.[/font]

[font=Calibri]Good PAC 12 scenarios for PSU.  This conferences playoff chances are on life support.  Their highest ranked team is Washington and they have very few games against teams that will shoot them up the board.  I honestly like PSU’s chances against any potential scenario for the PAC 12.[/font]

[font=Calibri] [/font]

[font=Calibri]Notre Dame.  Gotta lose.[/font]

[font=Calibri] [/font]

[font=Calibri]So as you can see, there are so many directions this can go.  My personal thoughts are that the B1G Champion will be in (though it is likely not PSU), the SEC Champion will be in, and the ACC Champion will be in.  If Notre Dame is undefeated, they will be the 4[sup]th[/sup] team.  If Oklahoma is with 1 loss, they will be in over either ND or B1G champion.  Penn State fans really need to cheer against Notre Dame, Oklahoma, TCU, and Georgia.  They will have a hard time getting in over any of those teams with just 1 loss.  Other than that, I would say their resume along with the eye tests will stack up with any remaining 1 loss teams. [/font]

Wow! Denial and not the river in Egypt. Your grasping at infinity senerios. Penn St.has two loses . There is no way they will even make the top 6. They'll be lucky to go to Papa John's motor city bowl. Let alone the Poulan Weed Eater Independence Bowl.

[lgb87cape]

You're. Before the grammar trolls come out...

[konjo78]

[font=Calibri]There is just so much left to be determined it is impossible to play the “what if” game.  Is Penn State is great position?  NO.  Do they have a shot? Heck yeah.[/font]

[font=Calibri]Last year PSU was ranked 12[sup]th[/sup] at this point of the season and given a .5% mathematical chance of winning the B1G.  Let alone make the playoffs.  So this year they are in a much better position.[/font]

[font=Calibri]I see several scenarios that can put Penn State back in good position.  But this is only assuming they win out and look pretty impressive doing so.  I will break it down by conference.[/font]

[font=Calibri] [/font]

[font=Calibri]Good B1G scenarios for PSU.   Ohio State loses a second game, Wisconsin doesn’t go undefeated.  Many ways this could play out.  OSU loss to Michigan, Michigan State, or Wisconsin.  Wisconsin loss to Michigan or 2-loss Ohio State in the B1G Championship.  I think a 1 loss PSU team will get in over a 1 loss Wisconsin team or a 2 loss Ohio State team. [/font]

[font=Calibri]Best scenario of all is somehow they get into the B1G championship game and win it.  A 12-1 back-to-back B1G would be a virtual lock for the playoffs. [/font]

[font=Calibri] [/font]

[font=Calibri]Good SEC scenarios for PSU.  Georgia losses somewhere before SEC championship game and losses the championship game to Alabama.  This will take the threat of a second bid coming out of the SEC away.  Alabama goes unblemished to prevent someone’s (Auburn or LSU maybe) resume getting bolstered by a victory over ‘Bama. [/font]

[font=Calibri]Best scenario is somehow Alabama loses 2 before the SEC championship and a multi-loss team out of the west beats Georgia.  That COULD leave the SEC empty handed.  Likelihood I would say is less than a percent of a percent.[/font]

[font=Calibri] [/font]

[font=Calibri]Good ACC scenarios for PSU.  This conference is pretty set in stone, IMO.  The winner of the league (Clemson, VT, or Miami) will likely get the bid.  I don’t see anyway they get a second team in.  Likelihood[/font]

[font=Calibri]Best scenario is Clemson somehow loses a second regular season game or lose to a multi-loss representative out of the Atlantic.  That could leave the ACC without a bid.[/font]

[font=Calibri] [/font]

[font=Calibri]Good Big 12 scenarios for PSU.  They need everyone to beat up on each other.  They need TCU or Okie State to beat Oklahoma.  Then they probably need that team to lose somewhere else along the way to be super comfy.  I think Penn State COULD get in over a 1 loss TCU or a 1 loss Okie State but a 0% chance they get in over a 1 loss Oklahoma.[/font]

[font=Calibri]Best scenario is some combination of TCU beats Oklahoma but loses to Okie State who lost to Oklahoma.  Or Oklahoma beats TCU but loses to Okie State who stumbles somewhere along the way.[/font]

[font=Calibri]Good PAC 12 scenarios for PSU.  This conferences playoff chances are on life support.  Their highest ranked team is Washington and they have very few games against teams that will shoot them up the board.  I honestly like PSU’s chances against any potential scenario for the PAC 12.[/font]

[font=Calibri] [/font]

[font=Calibri]Notre Dame.  Gotta lose.[/font]

[font=Calibri] [/font]

[font=Calibri]So as you can see, there are so many directions this can go.  My personal thoughts are that the B1G Champion will be in (though it is likely not PSU), the SEC Champion will be in, and the ACC Champion will be in.  If Notre Dame is undefeated, they will be the 4[sup]th[/sup] team.  If Oklahoma is with 1 loss, they will be in over either ND or B1G champion.  Penn State fans really need to cheer against Notre Dame, Oklahoma, TCU, and Georgia.  They will have a hard time getting in over any of those teams with just 1 loss.  Other than that, I would say their resume along with the eye tests will stack up with any remaining 1 loss teams. [/font]

Wow! Denial and not the river in Egypt. Your grasping at infinity senerios. Penn St.has two loses . There is no way they will even make the top 6. They'll be lucky to go to Papa John's motor city bowl. Let alone the Poulan Weed Eater Independence Bowl.

That post was before their 2nd loss

[lgb87cape]

[font=Calibri]There is just so much left to be determined it is impossible to play the “what if” game.  Is Penn State is great position?  NO.  Do they have a shot? Heck yeah.[/font]

[font=Calibri]Last year PSU was ranked 12[sup]th[/sup] at this point of the season and given a .5% mathematical chance of winning the B1G.  Let alone make the playoffs.  So this year they are in a much better position.[/font]

[font=Calibri]I see several scenarios that can put Penn State back in good position.  But this is only assuming they win out and look pretty impressive doing so.  I will break it down by conference.[/font]

[font=Calibri] [/font]

[font=Calibri]Good B1G scenarios for PSU.   Ohio State loses a second game, Wisconsin doesn’t go undefeated.  Many ways this could play out.  OSU loss to Michigan, Michigan State, or Wisconsin.  Wisconsin loss to Michigan or 2-loss Ohio State in the B1G Championship.  I think a 1 loss PSU team will get in over a 1 loss Wisconsin team or a 2 loss Ohio State team. [/font]

[font=Calibri]Best scenario of all is somehow they get into the B1G championship game and win it.  A 12-1 back-to-back B1G would be a virtual lock for the playoffs. [/font]

[font=Calibri] [/font]

[font=Calibri]Good SEC scenarios for PSU.  Georgia losses somewhere before SEC championship game and losses the championship game to Alabama.  This will take the threat of a second bid coming out of the SEC away.  Alabama goes unblemished to prevent someone’s (Auburn or LSU maybe) resume getting bolstered by a victory over ‘Bama. [/font]

[font=Calibri]Best scenario is somehow Alabama loses 2 before the SEC championship and a multi-loss team out of the west beats Georgia.  That COULD leave the SEC empty handed.  Likelihood I would say is less than a percent of a percent.[/font]

[font=Calibri] [/font]

[font=Calibri]Good ACC scenarios for PSU.  This conference is pretty set in stone, IMO.  The winner of the league (Clemson, VT, or Miami) will likely get the bid.  I don’t see anyway they get a second team in.  Likelihood[/font]

[font=Calibri]Best scenario is Clemson somehow loses a second regular season game or lose to a multi-loss representative out of the Atlantic.  That could leave the ACC without a bid.[/font]

[font=Calibri] [/font]

[font=Calibri]Good Big 12 scenarios for PSU.  They need everyone to beat up on each other.  They need TCU or Okie State to beat Oklahoma.  Then they probably need that team to lose somewhere else along the way to be super comfy.  I think Penn State COULD get in over a 1 loss TCU or a 1 loss Okie State but a 0% chance they get in over a 1 loss Oklahoma.[/font]

[font=Calibri]Best scenario is some combination of TCU beats Oklahoma but loses to Okie State who lost to Oklahoma.  Or Oklahoma beats TCU but loses to Okie State who stumbles somewhere along the way.[/font]

[font=Calibri]Good PAC 12 scenarios for PSU.  This conferences playoff chances are on life support.  Their highest ranked team is Washington and they have very few games against teams that will shoot them up the board.  I honestly like PSU’s chances against any potential scenario for the PAC 12.[/font]

[font=Calibri] [/font]

[font=Calibri]Notre Dame.  Gotta lose.[/font]

[font=Calibri] [/font]

[font=Calibri]So as you can see, there are so many directions this can go.  My personal thoughts are that the B1G Champion will be in (though it is likely not PSU), the SEC Champion will be in, and the ACC Champion will be in.  If Notre Dame is undefeated, they will be the 4[sup]th[/sup] team.  If Oklahoma is with 1 loss, they will be in over either ND or B1G champion.  Penn State fans really need to cheer against Notre Dame, Oklahoma, TCU, and Georgia.  They will have a hard time getting in over any of those teams with just 1 loss.  Other than that, I would say their resume along with the eye tests will stack up with any remaining 1 loss teams. [/font]

Wow! Denial and not the river in Egypt. Your grasping at infinity senerios. Penn St.has two loses . There is no way they will even make the top 6. They'll be lucky to go to Papa John's motor city bowl. Let alone the Poulan Weed Eater Independence Bowl.

That post was before their 2nd loss

Oh I see. Well throw it out the window now..

[Wrasslerfan]

Very true! It is wisconsin or bust. And with the ohio state blow out i wouldnt put psu or ohio state in the top 15

spot on konjo78